16/03/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Sokol Nespeky vs Ostrov Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
Over
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
40%
4-5
18%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
38%
Home Win
27%
25%
Draw
28%
37%
Away Win
45%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sokol Nespeky v Ostrov — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Sokol Nespeky
The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY
Ostrov
The Market 49%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
4
320 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
299 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Sokol Nespeky vs Ostrov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Sokol Nespeky got the better of Ostrov 2-0.
Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Sokol Nespeky found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Sokol Nespeky vs Ostrov?
Sokol Nespeky 2-0 Ostrov in the Czech Republic - 4.League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sokol Nespeky vs Ostrov?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sokol Nespeky win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sokol Nespeky 38%, draw 25%, Ostrov 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sokol Nespeky), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Sokol Nespeky)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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16 Mar 2024