Hamilton 3-0 Stirling Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.43
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.95
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.14
6+ Goals
10%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.95 — our 24% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
-6.3pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.5pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+3.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamilton EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Stirling Albion EU Bookmakers 18%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -13%
2.00/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/2.78
-3% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamilton
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Stirling Albion
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 2
11 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 4
27.02.2024 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 0-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
11.11.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 5-0 HT 2-0 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK1
02.09.2023 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 2-2 HT 1-2 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
08.07.2019 Hamilton Hamilton 2-0 HT 1-0 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion HAZ
03.08.2013 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 0-3 HT 0-2 Hamilton Hamilton İKLK
22.03.2008 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 0-1 HT 0-1 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
POST-MATCH Hamilton vs Stirling Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamilton swept aside Stirling Albion 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hamilton as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamilton had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Hamilton and 0.33 for Stirling Albion.

What was the final score of Hamilton vs Stirling Albion?

Hamilton 3-0 Stirling Albion in the Scotland - 1st Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamilton vs Stirling Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamilton win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Hamilton 59%, draw 22%, Stirling Albion 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamilton), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hamilton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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