Edinburgh City 2-5 Alloa Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
34%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
52%
-10.2pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.9pp
34%
Away Win
20%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Edinburgh City EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 23%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.65
+76% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Edinburgh City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Alloa Athletic
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
06.01.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 3-1 HT 1-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK1
18.11.2023 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 3-0 HT 2-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
30.09.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-1 HT 0-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK1
11.03.2023 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 0-2 HT 0-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
14.01.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-1 HT 2-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK1
19.11.2022 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 4-3 HT 1-3 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
POST-MATCH Edinburgh City vs Alloa Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alloa Athletic cruised past Edinburgh City 5-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Edinburgh City at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alloa Athletic led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Edinburgh City and 1.83 for Alloa Athletic.

What was the final score of Edinburgh City vs Alloa Athletic?

Edinburgh City 2-5 Alloa Athletic in the Scotland - 1st Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Edinburgh City vs Alloa Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Edinburgh City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Edinburgh City 41%, draw 24%, Alloa Athletic 34%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Edinburgh City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Edinburgh City) ✓ Over 2.5
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