Queen Of The South 1-4 Falkirk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2024

Queen Of The South
1-4 HT 0-0
Falkirk
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Scotland - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Queen Of The South vs Falkirk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
6.35
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
63%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.12
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
9.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 24% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
32%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
13%
+0.1pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.3pp
63%
Away Win
68%
-4.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.0pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Queen Of The South v Falkirk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queen Of The South EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkirk EU Bookmakers 72%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
0.48/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.29/0.62
-32% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +5%
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
232 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 444 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Queen Of The South vs Falkirk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queen Of The South
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Falkirk
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
6 Corners 6
The Meetings
06.01.2024 Falkirk Falkirk 1-0 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
04.11.2023 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-1 HT 1-1 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
16.09.2023 Falkirk Falkirk 1-0 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
18.03.2023 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-0 HT 1-0 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
23.12.2022 Falkirk Falkirk 5-2 HT 2-2 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
29.10.2022 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-3 HT 0-2 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
POST-MATCH Queen Of The South vs Falkirk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falkirk cruised past Queen Of The South 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Falkirk as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Falkirk led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Queen Of The South and 1.83 for Falkirk.

What was the final score of Queen Of The South vs Falkirk?

Queen Of The South 1-4 Falkirk in the Scotland - 1st Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queen Of The South vs Falkirk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Queen Of The South 13%, draw 24%, Falkirk 63%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Falkirk) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Falkirk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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