Fulham 3-0 Tottenham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 16 Mar 2024

Fulham
3-0 HT 1-0
Tottenham
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Fulham vs Tottenham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
46%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.43
No
40%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.73
2-3 Goals
38%
2.03
4-5 Goals
28%
2.62
6+ Goals
13%
6.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.5
1/2
8%
20.9
1/X
9%
12.85
X/1
10%
7.42
X/2
11%
5.02
X/X
8%
6.04
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
29.0
2/2
26%
2.62
2/X
7%
12.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.0 — our 9% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
46%
Away Win
46%
-0.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.1pp
40%
BTTS No
34%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fulham v Tottenham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fulham EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Tottenham EU Bookmakers 50%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +0%
1.15/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.35
-5% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 81%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
21.6 Crosses 13.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Fulham vs Tottenham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fulham
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Tottenham
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.98 xG 1.78
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
378 Passes 409
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.10.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 2-0 HT 1-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
29.08.2023 Fulham Fulham 1-1 HT 1-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNLK
23.01.2023 Fulham Fulham 0-1 HT 0-1 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
03.09.2022 Tottenham Tottenham 2-1 HT 1-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
04.03.2021 Fulham Fulham 0-1 HT 0-1 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
13.01.2021 Tottenham Tottenham 1-1 HT 1-0 Fulham Fulham İNP

Fulham 3-0 Tottenham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fulham
3-0
AWAY Tottenham
2.76 xG 2.41
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
305 Passes 459
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
40 Box Touches 38
17 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fulham vs Tottenham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fulham swept aside Tottenham 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Tottenham at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

On the day, Fulham had 43% of the ball to Tottenham's 57%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 2.76 to 2.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tottenham led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Fulham and 1.33 for Tottenham.

What was the final score of Fulham vs Tottenham?

Fulham 3-0 Tottenham in the England - Premier League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fulham vs Tottenham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tottenham win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Fulham 31%, draw 23%, Tottenham 46%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Tottenham), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tottenham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNP More England - Premier League
16 Mar 2024
18:00 Luton Town vs Nottingham Forest Analysis →
18:00 Burnley vs Brentford Analysis →