Frosinone 2-3 Lazio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 16 Mar 2024

Frosinone
2-3 HT 1-1
Lazio
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2023/2024

Frosinone vs Lazio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.64
6+ Goals
10%
14.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.69
1/2
8%
26.5
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
13.3
X/1
15%
6.53
X/2
11%
4.83
X/X
12%
4.5
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.06
2/X
5%
13.0
Value flag · 1/X at 13.3 — our 12% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-5.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Frosinone v Lazio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frosinone EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Lazio EU Bookmakers 46%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.48/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.13
+29% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +6%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
264 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 80%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
16.5 Crosses 15.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5

Frosinone vs Lazio Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Frosinone
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Lazio
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
0.93 xG 1.81
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
252 Passes 444
70% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.12.2023 Lazio Lazio 3-1 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTA
04.02.2019 Frosinone Frosinone 0-1 HT 0-1 Lazio Lazio İTA
02.09.2018 Lazio Lazio 1-0 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTA
21.02.2016 Frosinone Frosinone 0-0 HT 0-0 Lazio Lazio İTA
04.10.2015 Lazio Lazio 2-0 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTA

Frosinone 2-3 Lazio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Frosinone
2-3
AWAY Lazio
2.17 xG 3.21
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 4
308 Passes 454
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 35
25 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Frosinone vs Lazio
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Lazio edged past Frosinone 3-2 away from home in the Italy - Serie A on 16 Mar 2024. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Frosinone had 43% of the ball to Lazio's 57%, shots finished 14-22, expected goals 2.17 to 3.21.

Across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lazio lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Frosinone and 1.40 for Lazio.

What was the final score of Frosinone vs Lazio?

Frosinone 2-3 Lazio in the Italy - Serie A on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Frosinone vs Lazio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lazio win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Frosinone 34%, draw 29%, Lazio 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lazio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lazio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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