Salernitana vs Lecce Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Salernitana v Lecce — Team-Based Signals
Salernitana vs Lecce Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Salernitana
İTA
1-2
HT 1-2
Salernitana
İTA
1-2
HT 0-1
Lecce
İTA
2-0
HT 1-0
Salernitana
İTB
1-1
HT 1-0
Lecce
İTB
4-0
HT 1-0
Salernitana
İTK
Salernitana 0-1 Lecce — Actual Match Statistics
Lecce nicked a narrow win over Salernitana 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Lecce made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Salernitana had 71% of the ball to Lecce's 29%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 1.19 to 1.24.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lecce led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Salernitana and 2.00 for Lecce.
What was the final score of Salernitana vs Lecce?
Salernitana 0-1 Lecce in the Italy - Serie A on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Salernitana vs Lecce?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lecce win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Salernitana 33%, draw 28%, Lecce 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lecce), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.