Independiente Del Valle 3-0 Cumbaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 16 Mar 2024

Independiente Del Valle
3-0 HT 0-0
Cumbaya
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Independiente Del Valle vs Cumbaya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.25
Draw
23%
5.28
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.18
Over 2.5
45%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.33
No
59%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
76%
-14.3pp
23%
Draw
16%
+6.8pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+7.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
42%
+12.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
58%
-12.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
39%
+1.9pp
59%
BTTS No
61%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Independiente Del Valle v Cumbaya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Cumbaya EU Bookmakers 9%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.69/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/1.56
-4% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +7%
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
468 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 190 · 69%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.8
18.5 Crosses 10.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.3

Independiente Del Valle vs Cumbaya Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Del Valle
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Cumbaya
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
1.42 xG 0.41
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
496 Passes 243
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 8
19 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
13.08.2023 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 2-0 HT 1-0 Cumbaya Cumbaya EKV1
07.03.2023 Cumbaya Cumbaya 1-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
10.07.2022 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 2-0 HT 1-0 Cumbaya Cumbaya EKV1
21.02.2022 Cumbaya Cumbaya 0-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1

Independiente Del Valle 3-0 Cumbaya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Del Valle
3-0
AWAY Cumbaya
1.69 xG 0.04
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 1
392 Passes 241
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
39 Box Touches 4
20 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Independiente Del Valle vs Cumbaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Del Valle swept aside Cumbaya 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Independiente Del Valle as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Independiente Del Valle had 60% of the ball to Cumbaya's 40%, shots finished 21-2, expected goals 1.69 to 0.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Independiente Del Valle and 0.25 for Cumbaya.

What was the final score of Independiente Del Valle vs Cumbaya?

Independiente Del Valle 3-0 Cumbaya in the Ecuador - Premier on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Del Valle vs Cumbaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Independiente Del Valle 62%, draw 23%, Cumbaya 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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