Mushuc Runa 3-0 Imbabura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mushuc Runa EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Imbabura EU Bookmakers 29%
+17% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+15% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
275 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 76%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.1 Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mushuc Runa
3-0
AWAY Imbabura
1.95 xG 1.15
36% Ball Possession 64%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
239 Passes 477
79% Pass Accuracy 90%
20 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mushuc Runa vs Imbabura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mushuc Runa swept aside Imbabura 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mushuc Runa as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mushuc Runa had 36% of the ball to Imbabura's 64%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.95 to 1.15.

What was the final score of Mushuc Runa vs Imbabura?

Mushuc Runa 3-0 Imbabura in the Ecuador - Premier on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mushuc Runa vs Imbabura?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mushuc Runa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 46%, draw 26%, Imbabura 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mushuc Runa), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mushuc Runa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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