LDU Quito vs Aucas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
LDU Quito v Aucas — Team-Based Signals
LDU Quito vs Aucas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
LDU Quito
EKV1
1-1
HT 1-1
Aucas
EKV1
1-1
HT 1-0
LDU Quito
EKV1
4-4
HT 1-2
Aucas
EKV1
1-0
HT 1-0
LDU Quito
EKV1
1-3
HT 1-3
Aucas
EKV1
LDU Quito 1-2 Aucas — Actual Match Statistics
Aucas squeezed past LDU Quito 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was LDU Quito at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, LDU Quito had 57% of the ball to Aucas's 43%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 0.94 to 1.57.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aucas led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for LDU Quito and 1.67 for Aucas.
What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Aucas?
LDU Quito 1-2 Aucas in the Ecuador - Premier on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Aucas?
Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 48%, draw 28%, Aucas 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.