16/03/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
1-2
Dachau vs Rain / Lech Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
23%
Draw
30%
36%
Away Win
28%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dachau v Rain / Lech — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Dachau
EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
Rain / Lech
EU Bookmakers 32%
-56% /
-56%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-52% /
-52%
2.00/3.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/1.00
-4%
/
-53%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
+111%
61%
Ball Possession
39%
14
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
4
329 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
277 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Dachau vs Rain / Lech
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Dachau swept aside Rain / Lech 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 36%) promised a tight game; Dachau found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.
What was the final score of Dachau vs Rain / Lech?
Dachau 3-0 Rain / Lech in the Germany - Oberliga on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dachau vs Rain / Lech?
Before kick-off our model rated a Dachau win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dachau 40%, draw 23%, Rain / Lech 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dachau), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Dachau)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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OBER
More Germany - Oberliga
16 Mar 2024