SpVgg Bayern Hof 3-2 ASV Neumarkt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Oberliga, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
18%
3.64
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.2pp
18%
Draw
24%
-5.7pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SpVgg Bayern Hof EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY ASV Neumarkt EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH SpVgg Bayern Hof vs ASV Neumarkt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SpVgg Bayern Hof squeezed past ASV Neumarkt 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had SpVgg Bayern Hof as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of SpVgg Bayern Hof vs ASV Neumarkt?

SpVgg Bayern Hof 3-2 ASV Neumarkt in the Germany - Oberliga on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SpVgg Bayern Hof vs ASV Neumarkt?

Before kick-off our model rated a SpVgg Bayern Hof win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split SpVgg Bayern Hof 48%, draw 18%, ASV Neumarkt 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SpVgg Bayern Hof), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SpVgg Bayern Hof) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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