16/03/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Ismaning vs Garching Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
57%
22%
Draw
24%
39%
Away Win
18%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ismaning v Garching — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ismaning
EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY
Garching
EU Bookmakers 21%
-64% /
-64%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-40% /
-40%
0.00/2.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/3.64
-100%
/
-25%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
-46%
58%
Ball Possession
42%
17
Total Shots
8
13
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
2
378 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
259 · 71%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Ismaning vs Garching
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ismaning swept aside Garching 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 22% / 39% — and on the day Ismaning made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of Ismaning vs Garching?
Ismaning 5-0 Garching in the Germany - Oberliga on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ismaning vs Garching?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ismaning win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ismaning 39%, draw 22%, Garching 39%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (39/22/39)
✓ Over 2.5
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OBER
More Germany - Oberliga
16 Mar 2024