16/03/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
3-1
Union Frintrop vs Mülheimer FC 97 Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
28%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
24%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
41%
25%
Draw
25%
30%
Away Win
34%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Union Frintrop v Mülheimer FC 97 — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Union Frintrop
EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Mülheimer FC 97
EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-1% /
-1%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+67%
/
-17%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
15
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Target
4
7
Corners
4
273 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
328 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Union Frintrop vs Mülheimer FC 97
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Union Frintrop nicked a narrow win over Mülheimer FC 97 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Union Frintrop as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Union Frintrop vs Mülheimer FC 97?
Union Frintrop 1-0 Mülheimer FC 97 in the Germany - Oberliga on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Union Frintrop vs Mülheimer FC 97?
Before kick-off our model rated a Union Frintrop win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Union Frintrop 46%, draw 25%, Mülheimer FC 97 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Frintrop) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Union Frintrop)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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OBER
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16 Mar 2024