16/03/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Trident vs Forest Rangers Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
35%
4-5
24%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
47%
Home Win
53%
28%
Draw
25%
25%
Away Win
23%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Trident v Forest Rangers — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Trident
The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Forest Rangers
The Market 26%
-64% /
-64%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+6% /
+6%
0.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/1.26
-100%
/
-38%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+21%
/
-18%
56%
Ball Possession
44%
14
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
376 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
311 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Trident vs Forest Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Forest Rangers got the better of Trident 3-1 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Trident at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
What was the final score of Trident vs Forest Rangers?
Trident 1-3 Forest Rangers in the Zambiya - Super League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Trident vs Forest Rangers?
Before kick-off our model rated a Trident win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Trident 47%, draw 28%, Forest Rangers 25%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Trident), Under 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Trident)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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ZAM
More Zambiya - Super League
16 Mar 2024