Varnsdorf 2-1 Sparta Prag II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.8pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varnsdorf EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag II EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -12%
1.61/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.88
+7% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varnsdorf
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sparta Prag II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.08.2024 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II 1-1 HT 0-0 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
17.03.2024 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II 1-2 HT 0-2 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
13.08.2023 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 2-2 HT 0-2 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II ÇEK2
08.05.2023 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II 2-0 HT 1-0 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
16.10.2022 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 2-0 HT 2-0 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II ÇEK2
09.03.2022 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II 0-3 HT 0-1 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varnsdorf
2-1
AWAY Sparta Prag II
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Varnsdorf vs Sparta Prag II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varnsdorf edged past Sparta Prag II 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Varnsdorf made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Varnsdorf had 37% of the ball to Sparta Prag II's 63%, shots finished 12-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Varnsdorf had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Varnsdorf and 1.00 for Sparta Prag II.

What was the final score of Varnsdorf vs Sparta Prag II?

Varnsdorf 2-1 Sparta Prag II in the Czech Republic - FNL on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varnsdorf vs Sparta Prag II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varnsdorf win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Varnsdorf 37%, draw 28%, Sparta Prag II 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varnsdorf), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Varnsdorf) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇEK2 More Czech Republic - FNL
16 Mar 2025
12:15 Viktoria Zizkov vs FC Fastav Zlin Analysis →
13:00 Slavia Prag II vs Vyskov Analysis →
16:30 Banik Ostrava II vs Chrudim Analysis →