Malmö FF 3-2 Göteborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.35
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.2
6+ Goals
12%
11.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.35 — our 26% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
62%
-4.6pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.8pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+2.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Göteborg EU Bookmakers 19%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.31/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/2.45
+17% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +108% / -24%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
397 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malmö FF
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Göteborg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.63 xG 0.76
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
490 Passes 210
85% Pass Accuracy 70%
32 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2024 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-1 HT 0-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
13.05.2024 Göteborg Göteborg 0-3 HT 0-2 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
03.09.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-2 HT 0-2 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
17.04.2023 Göteborg Göteborg 0-1 HT 0-1 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
17.10.2022 Göteborg Göteborg 2-1 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
25.04.2022 Malmö FF Malmö FF 1-0 HT 0-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malmö FF
3-2
AWAY Göteborg
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Malmö FF vs Göteborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malmö FF edged past Göteborg 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Malmö FF as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Malmö FF had 55% of the ball to Göteborg's 45%, shots finished 18-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Malmö FF and 0.83 for Göteborg.

What was the final score of Malmö FF vs Göteborg?

Malmö FF 3-2 Göteborg in the Sweden - Cup on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malmö FF vs Göteborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Malmö FF 58%, draw 24%, Göteborg 18%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malmö FF), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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