Malmö FF 2-1 Göteborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 28 Oct 2024

📅28/10/2024 · 🕒21:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.47
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.29
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
27%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
9.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.79
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
17.25
X/1
21%
3.69
X/2
8%
12.95
X/X
7%
6.38
2/1
8%
21.45
2/2
6%
9.86
2/X
8%
17.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
64%
-8.0pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.1pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Göteborg EU Bookmakers 19%
+2% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.75/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.75
+9% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -8%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
409 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
31.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
22.0 Crosses 20.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malmö FF
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Göteborg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.89 xG 0.79
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
477 Passes 244
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
31 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.05.2024 Göteborg Göteborg 0-3 HT 0-2 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
03.09.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-2 HT 0-2 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
17.04.2023 Göteborg Göteborg 0-1 HT 0-1 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
17.10.2022 Göteborg Göteborg 2-1 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
25.04.2022 Malmö FF Malmö FF 1-0 HT 0-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
07.11.2021 Göteborg Göteborg 0-2 HT 0-1 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malmö FF
2-1
AWAY Göteborg
0.78 xG 0.58
75% Ball Possession 25%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
545 Passes 120
87% Pass Accuracy 62%
40 Box Touches 12
35 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Malmö FF vs Göteborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malmö FF edged past Göteborg 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Malmö FF as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Malmö FF had 75% of the ball to Göteborg's 25%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.78 to 0.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Malmö FF and 0.67 for Göteborg.

What was the final score of Malmö FF vs Göteborg?

Malmö FF 2-1 Göteborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malmö FF vs Göteborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Malmö FF 56%, draw 24%, Göteborg 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malmö FF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ More Sweden - Allsvenskan
28 Oct 2024
21:00 Djurgarden vs Vasteras SK FK Analysis →