Djurgarden 2-1 Vasteras SK FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 28 Oct 2024

Djurgarden
2-1 HT 1-1
Vasteras SK FK
📅28/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Djurgarden vs Vasteras SK FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.1
6+ Goals
9%
9.99
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.04 — our 26% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.98
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.65
X/1
12%
3.86
X/2
8%
10.8
X/X
11%
5.83
2/1
7%
21.85
2/2
14%
8.15
2/X
6%
16.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
59%
-9.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.9pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Djurgarden v Vasteras SK FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasteras SK FK EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.65/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.34
-10% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
421 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
24.4 Crosses 19.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5

Djurgarden vs Vasteras SK FK Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Djurgarden
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Vasteras SK FK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.77 xG 3.16
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 23
7 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
352 Passes 441
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Box Touches 47
9 Crosses 39
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.05.2024 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 0-2 HT 0-1 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ

Djurgarden 2-1 Vasteras SK FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Djurgarden
2-1
AWAY Vasteras SK FK
2.25 xG 1.37
46% Ball Possession 54%
19 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 3
310 Passes 377
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
34 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Djurgarden vs Vasteras SK FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Djurgarden squeezed past Vasteras SK FK 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Djurgarden as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Djurgarden had 46% of the ball to Vasteras SK FK's 54%, shots finished 19-22, expected goals 2.25 to 1.37.

What was the final score of Djurgarden vs Vasteras SK FK?

Djurgarden 2-1 Vasteras SK FK in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Djurgarden vs Vasteras SK FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Djurgarden win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Djurgarden 50%, draw 23%, Vasteras SK FK 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Djurgarden) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Djurgarden) ✗ BTTS No
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