Leganes 2-3 Real Betis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 16 Mar 2025

Leganes
2-3 HT 2-0
Real Betis
📅16/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Leganes vs Real Betis Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
43%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.26
6+ Goals
9%
21.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
6.07
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
7%
14.55
X/1
9%
7.49
X/2
9%
4.52
X/X
11%
4.07
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
28%
2.78
2/X
7%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS No — 56% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
+6.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.1pp
44%
Away Win
46%
-3.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.0pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leganes v Real Betis — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leganes EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Betis EU Bookmakers 50%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +23%
1.09/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.25
+2% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +28%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 81%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
14.4 Crosses 14.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6

Leganes vs Real Betis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leganes
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Real Betis
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.96 xG 1.49
30% Ball Possession 70%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
187 Passes 553
69% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.09.2024 Real Betis Real Betis 2-0 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS1
16.02.2020 Leganes Leganes 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
31.08.2019 Real Betis Real Betis 2-1 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS1
10.02.2019 Leganes Leganes 3-0 HT 2-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
30.09.2018 Real Betis Real Betis 1-0 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS1
19.05.2018 Leganes Leganes 3-2 HT 1-1 Real Betis Real Betis İS1

Leganes 2-3 Real Betis — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leganes
2-3
AWAY Real Betis
1.28 xG 2.69
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
225 Passes 462
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leganes vs Real Betis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Betis nicked a narrow win over Leganes 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Betis as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leganes had 35% of the ball to Real Betis's 65%, shots finished 10-21, expected goals 1.28 to 2.69 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Real Betis's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Betis led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Leganes and 1.17 for Real Betis.

What was the final score of Leganes vs Real Betis?

Leganes 2-3 Real Betis in the Spain - Primera Liga on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leganes vs Real Betis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Betis win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Leganes 32%, draw 25%, Real Betis 44%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Betis) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Betis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS1 More Spain - Primera Liga
16 Mar 2025
18:15 Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao Analysis →
20:30 Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad Analysis →
20:30 Osasuna vs Getafe Analysis →
23:00 Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona Analysis →