Osasuna 1-2 Getafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.41
Over 2.5
41%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
1.95
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
6.31
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.46
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.65
X/1
15%
4.69
X/2
7%
6.36
X/X
17%
3.29
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
12%
5.49
2/X
7%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.4pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.3pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
67%
-7.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
33%
+7.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.8pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osasuna EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Getafe EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.26/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.34
+2% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
324 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 66%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
23.2 Crosses 17.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osasuna
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Getafe
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.71 xG 1.07
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
289 Passes 220
72% Pass Accuracy 66%
15 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 4
05.10.2024 Getafe Getafe 1-1 HT 1-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
21.01.2024 Osasuna Osasuna 3-2 HT 2-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
17.09.2023 Getafe Getafe 3-2 HT 1-1 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
28.05.2023 Getafe Getafe 2-1 HT 1-1 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
18.09.2022 Osasuna Osasuna 0-2 HT 0-1 Getafe Getafe İS1
11.05.2022 Osasuna Osasuna 1-1 HT 1-1 Getafe Getafe İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osasuna
1-2
AWAY Getafe
1.87 xG 0.54
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
377 Passes 207
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Osasuna vs Getafe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Getafe nicked a narrow win over Osasuna 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Osasuna at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Osasuna had 62% of the ball to Getafe's 38%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.87 to 0.54 — the balance of chances actually favoured Osasuna.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Getafe led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Osasuna and 1.83 for Getafe.

What was the final score of Osasuna vs Getafe?

Osasuna 1-2 Getafe in the Spain - Primera Liga on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osasuna vs Getafe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osasuna win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Osasuna 43%, draw 32%, Getafe 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Osasuna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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