Getafe 1-1 Osasuna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.05
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.08
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
17%
6.16
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.01
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.25
X/1
23%
4.15
X/2
9%
6.99
X/X
14%
3.46
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
11%
6.22
2/X
5%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
45%
+4.0pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.1pp
25%
Away Win
25%
+0.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.6pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Getafe EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Osasuna EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -13%
1.28/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.21
-5% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
318 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 71%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
20.1 Crosses 18.4
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Getafe
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Osasuna
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.12 xG 0.75
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
246 Passes 301
69% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 3
21.01.2024 Osasuna Osasuna 3-2 HT 2-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
17.09.2023 Getafe Getafe 3-2 HT 1-1 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
28.05.2023 Getafe Getafe 2-1 HT 1-1 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
18.09.2022 Osasuna Osasuna 0-2 HT 0-1 Getafe Getafe İS1
11.05.2022 Osasuna Osasuna 1-1 HT 1-1 Getafe Getafe İS1
19.12.2021 Getafe Getafe 1-0 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Getafe
1-1
AWAY Osasuna
0.83 xG 0.34
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
126 Passes 229
57% Pass Accuracy 69%
18 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Getafe vs Osasuna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Getafe and Osasuna couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Getafe at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Getafe had 40% of the ball to Osasuna's 60%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 0.83 to 0.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Getafe had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Getafe and 1.17 for Osasuna.

What was the final score of Getafe vs Osasuna?

Getafe 1-1 Osasuna in the Spain - Primera Liga on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Getafe vs Osasuna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Getafe win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Getafe 49%, draw 26%, Osasuna 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Getafe), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Getafe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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