Espanyol vs Mallorca Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Espanyol v Mallorca — Team-Based Signals
Espanyol vs Mallorca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Mallorca
İS1
1-1
HT 0-0
Espanyol
İS1
1-0
HT 1-0
Mallorca
İS1
2-1
HT 1-0
Espanyol
İSPK
1-0
HT 1-0
Espanyol
İS1
1-2
HT 0-1
Espanyol
İS2
Espanyol 2-1 Mallorca — Actual Match Statistics
Espanyol squeezed past Mallorca 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Mallorca at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Espanyol had 40% of the ball to Mallorca's 60%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.93 to 1.81 — the balance of chances actually favoured Mallorca.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Espanyol had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Espanyol and 1.00 for Mallorca.
What was the final score of Espanyol vs Mallorca?
Espanyol 2-1 Mallorca in the Spain - Primera Liga on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Espanyol vs Mallorca?
Before kick-off our model rated an Mallorca win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Espanyol 28%, draw 30%, Mallorca 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mallorca), Under 2.5 went the other way.