Las Palmas vs Celta Vigo Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Las Palmas v Celta Vigo — Team-Based Signals
Las Palmas vs Celta Vigo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Celta Vigo
İS1
2-1
HT 0-0
Las Palmas
İS1
2-5
HT 0-2
Celta Vigo
İS1
3-1
HT 2-0
Las Palmas
İS1
3-3
HT 0-3
Celta Vigo
İS1
Las Palmas 0-1 Celta Vigo — Actual Match Statistics
Celta Vigo nicked a narrow win over Las Palmas 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Celta Vigo found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Las Palmas had 61% of the ball to Celta Vigo's 39%, shots finished 25-8, expected goals 1.37 to 0.76 — on chances, Las Palmas could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celta Vigo led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Las Palmas and 3.00 for Celta Vigo.
What was the final score of Las Palmas vs Celta Vigo?
Las Palmas 0-1 Celta Vigo in the Spain - Primera Liga on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Las Palmas vs Celta Vigo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Celta Vigo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Las Palmas 32%, draw 29%, Celta Vigo 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celta Vigo), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.