Valladolid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction — Model Probabilities
Valladolid v Rayo Vallecano — Team-Based Signals
Valladolid vs Rayo Vallecano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Valladolid 1-2 Rayo Vallecano — Actual Match Statistics
Rayo Vallecano edged past Valladolid 2-1 on the road. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
Our pre-match split (28% / 34% / 38%) promised a tight game; Rayo Vallecano found the edge the numbers couldn't. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (55%) never looked like landing.
Under the surface, Valladolid had 39% of the ball to Rayo Vallecano's 61%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 1.99 to 1.50 — by the quality of chances, Valladolid deserved more.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rayo Vallecano led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Valladolid and 1.00 for Rayo Vallecano.
Valladolid vs Rayo Vallecano Result & Final Score
Valladolid 1 - 2 Rayo Vallecano in the Spain - Primera Liga on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Valladolid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Rayo Vallecano win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Valladolid 28%, draw 34%, Rayo Vallecano 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rayo Vallecano) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.