Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sevilla v Athletic Bilbao — Team-Based Signals
Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Sevilla
İS1
1-1
HT 1-0
Athletic Bilbao
İS1
1-0
HT 0-0
Athletic Bilbao
İS1
Sevilla 0-1 Athletic Bilbao — Actual Match Statistics
Athletic Bilbao squeezed past Sevilla 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 30%) promised a tight game; Athletic Bilbao found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Sevilla had 62% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao's 38%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.55 to 1.34.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sevilla and 1.00 for Athletic Bilbao.
What was the final score of Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao?
Sevilla 0-1 Athletic Bilbao in the Spain - Primera Liga on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sevilla 38%, draw 32%, Athletic Bilbao 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sevilla) went the other way.