Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction — Model Probabilities
Sevilla v Athletic Bilbao — Team-Based Signals
Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sevilla 0-1 Athletic Bilbao — Actual Match Statistics
Athletic Bilbao squeezed past Sevilla 1-0 on their travels. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (36% / 34% / 30%) promised a tight game; Athletic Bilbao found the edge the numbers couldn't. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (61%) came home.
Under the surface, Sevilla had 62% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao's 38%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.55 to 1.34.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sevilla and 1.00 for Athletic Bilbao.
Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao Result & Final Score
Sevilla 0 - 1 Athletic Bilbao in the Spain - Primera Liga on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sevilla 36%, draw 34%, Athletic Bilbao 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sevilla) went the other way.