Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Sevilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 19 May 2024

Athletic Bilbao
2-0 HT 2-0
Sevilla
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.89
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.16
6+ Goals
12%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.89 — our 26% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.95
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.65
X/1
22%
3.82
X/2
7%
11.35
X/X
7%
5.67
2/1
8%
22.3
2/2
12%
8.75
2/X
9%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-7.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Athletic Bilbao v Sevilla — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Bilbao EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.66/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.38
-10% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
25.9 Crosses 17.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7

Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Bilbao
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sevilla
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.04 xG 0.87
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
302 Passes 428
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.01.2024 Sevilla Sevilla 0-2 HT 0-1 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
27.04.2023 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 0-1 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
08.10.2022 Sevilla Sevilla 1-1 HT 1-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
22.05.2022 Sevilla Sevilla 1-0 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
11.12.2021 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 0-1 HT 0-1 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
03.05.2021 Sevilla Sevilla 0-1 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1

Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Sevilla — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Bilbao
2-0
AWAY Sevilla
1.57 xG 0.87
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
414 Passes 338
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao got the better of Sevilla 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Athletic Bilbao as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Athletic Bilbao had 53% of the ball to Sevilla's 47%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.57 to 0.87.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sevilla led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Athletic Bilbao and 0.67 for Sevilla.

What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla?

Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Sevilla in the Spain - Primera Liga on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao 52%, draw 24%, Sevilla 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao) ✓ BTTS No
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