Granada 1-2 Celta Vigo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.29
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.34
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.54
6+ Goals
9%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 27% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.51
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X
9%
13.5
X/1
15%
7.49
X/2
15%
4.53
X/X
7%
4.6
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.7
2/X
6%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
27%
+8.6pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.1pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-3.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Granada EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Celta Vigo EU Bookmakers 49%
-11% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -9%
1.28/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.46
-16% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
22.3 Crosses 14.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Granada
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Celta Vigo
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.83 xG 1.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
209 Passes 377
66% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
16.12.2023 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1-0 HT 1-0 Granada Granada İS1
01.05.2022 Granada Granada 1-1 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
27.09.2021 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1-0 HT 0-0 Granada Granada İS1
31.01.2021 Granada Granada 0-0 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
29.11.2020 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3-1 HT 1-1 Granada Granada İS1
29.02.2020 Granada Granada 0-0 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Granada
1-2
AWAY Celta Vigo
1.92 xG 1.68
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 2
320 Passes 356
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Granada vs Celta Vigo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celta Vigo squeezed past Granada 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Celta Vigo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Granada had 49% of the ball to Celta Vigo's 51%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.92 to 1.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celta Vigo led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Granada and 1.00 for Celta Vigo.

What was the final score of Granada vs Celta Vigo?

Granada 1-2 Celta Vigo in the Spain - Primera Liga on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Granada vs Celta Vigo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celta Vigo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Granada 36%, draw 22%, Celta Vigo 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celta Vigo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celta Vigo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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