Villarreal vs Real Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities
Villarreal v Real Madrid — Team-Based Signals
Villarreal vs Real Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Villarreal 4-4 Real Madrid — Actual Match Statistics
Villarreal and Real Madrid shared the points in a 4-4 draw. Half-time: 1-4. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
A gentle 45% lean on Real Madrid didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (65%) landed.
On the day, Real Madrid saw more of the ball, 57% to 43%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 1.78 to 1.04.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Villarreal against 1.67 for Real Madrid.
Villarreal vs Real Madrid Result & Final Score
Villarreal 4 - 4 Real Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Villarreal vs Real Madrid Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Villarreal 31%, draw 24%, Real Madrid 45%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Madrid) went the other way.