Mallorca 2-2 Almeria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.4
No
53%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.82
2-3 Goals
47%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.14
6+ Goals
7%
19.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.72
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
21.85
X/1
13%
3.24
X/2
7%
15.8
X/X
12%
5.3
2/1
5%
28.5
2/2
8%
14.8
2/X
8%
23.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-13.1pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.8pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+9.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
38%
+10.0pp
53%
BTTS No
62%
-10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mallorca EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Almeria EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
0.91/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.93
-48% / +101% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -9%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
439 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 70%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
22.2 Crosses 12.6
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mallorca
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Almeria
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.28 xG 0.70
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
284 Passes 350
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
17.12.2023 Almeria Almeria 0-0 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
20.05.2023 Almeria Almeria 3-0 HT 2-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
17.09.2022 Mallorca Mallorca 1-0 HT 1-0 Almeria Almeria İS1
21.02.2021 Mallorca Mallorca 2-0 HT 1-0 Almeria Almeria İS2
03.12.2020 Almeria Almeria 0-1 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS2
19.05.2019 Mallorca Mallorca 1-0 HT 0-0 Almeria Almeria İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mallorca
2-2
AWAY Almeria
3.01 xG 0.42
51% Ball Possession 49%
29 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 2
349 Passes 344
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
38 Box Touches 6
39 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mallorca vs Almeria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mallorca and Almeria shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mallorca at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mallorca had 51% of the ball to Almeria's 49%, shots finished 29-7, expected goals 3.01 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mallorca had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mallorca and 0.50 for Almeria.

What was the final score of Mallorca vs Almeria?

Mallorca 2-2 Almeria in the Spain - Primera Liga on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mallorca vs Almeria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mallorca win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Mallorca 53%, draw 25%, Almeria 22%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mallorca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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