Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Atletico Madrid v Osasuna — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Atletico Madrid 1-4 Osasuna — Actual Match Statistics
Osasuna dismantled Atletico Madrid 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
Our model won't enjoy this one — Atletico Madrid at 73% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 54% and both teams to score at 46%, coin-flips both. At 1.66 (~60%), the BTTS-no price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
By the numbers, possession split 57% to 43% in Atletico Madrid's favour, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.56 to 1.91.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid had the better of it with 6 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Atletico Madrid against 0.17 for Osasuna.
Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna Result & Final Score
Atletico Madrid 1 - 4 Osasuna in the Spain - Primera Liga on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid 73%, draw 17%, Osasuna 11%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Madrid), BTTS No went the other way.