Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Athletic Bilbao v Sevilla — Team-Based Signals
Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Sevilla
İS1
1-1
HT 1-0
Athletic Bilbao
İS1
1-0
HT 0-0
Athletic Bilbao
İS1
0-1
HT 0-1
Sevilla
İS1
Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Sevilla — Actual Match Statistics
Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Athletic Bilbao at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Athletic Bilbao had 39% of the ball to Sevilla's 61%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.96 to 1.16.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sevilla led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Athletic Bilbao and 0.67 for Sevilla.
What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla?
Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Sevilla in the Spain - Primera Liga on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla?
Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao 43%, draw 30%, Sevilla 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Athletic Bilbao) went the other way.