Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla Prediction — Model Probabilities
Athletic Bilbao v Sevilla — Team-Based Signals
Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Sevilla — Actual Match Statistics
Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla finished all square at 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Athletic Bilbao at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 47% for over 2.5, 49% on both teams scoring.
By the numbers, Sevilla saw more of the ball, 61% to 39%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.96 to 1.16.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sevilla led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Athletic Bilbao against 0.67 for Sevilla.
Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla Result & Final Score
Athletic Bilbao 1 - 1 Sevilla in the Spain - Primera Liga on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao 54%, draw 27%, Sevilla 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Athletic Bilbao), BTTS No went the other way.