Celta Vigo 1-1 Girona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 29 Sep 2024

Celta Vigo
1-1 HT 0-1
Girona
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Celta Vigo vs Girona Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.62
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.33
6+ Goals
12%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 27% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.55
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
7%
12.7
X/1
9%
5.52
X/2
10%
5.76
X/X
11%
4.75
2/1
12%
27.5
2/2
21%
3.77
2/X
9%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.7pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Celta Vigo v Girona — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celta Vigo EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Girona EU Bookmakers 38%
-10% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.34/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.23
-4% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
19.4 Crosses 19.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4

Celta Vigo vs Girona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celta Vigo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Girona
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.97 xG 1.03
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
355 Passes 397
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.01.2024 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0-1 HT 0-1 Girona Girona İS1
27.10.2023 Girona Girona 1-0 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
23.05.2023 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1-1 HT 1-0 Girona Girona İS1
26.08.2022 Girona Girona 0-1 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
20.04.2019 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 2-1 HT 1-0 Girona Girona İS1
17.09.2018 Girona Girona 3-2 HT 2-1 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1

Celta Vigo 1-1 Girona — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celta Vigo
1-1
AWAY Girona
0.45 xG 0.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
479 Passes 546
87% Pass Accuracy 91%
37 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Celta Vigo vs Girona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celta Vigo and Girona couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Celta Vigo had 48% of the ball to Girona's 52%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.45 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Girona led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Celta Vigo and 1.17 for Girona.

What was the final score of Celta Vigo vs Girona?

Celta Vigo 1-1 Girona in the Spain - Primera Liga on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celta Vigo vs Girona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo 38%, draw 27%, Girona 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Celta Vigo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celta Vigo) ✓ BTTS Yes
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