Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Madrid v Real Madrid — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-1
Real Madrid
İS1
1-1
HT 0-0
Atletico Madrid
İS1
3-1
HT 0-1
Atletico Madrid
İSPK
Atletico Madrid 1-1 Real Madrid — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Real Madrid at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Atletico Madrid had 51% of the ball to Real Madrid's 49%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.28 to 0.76.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Atletico Madrid and 2.17 for Real Madrid.
What was the final score of Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid?
Atletico Madrid 1-1 Real Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid?
Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid 33%, draw 26%, Real Madrid 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Madrid) went the other way.