Real Betis 1-0 Espanyol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 29 Sep 2024

Real Betis
1-0 HT 0-0
Espanyol
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Real Betis vs Espanyol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.86
Over 2.5
56%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
26%
3.64
6+ Goals
11%
14.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.89
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.65
X/1
21%
3.53
X/2
9%
12.25
X/X
11%
5.37
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
24.45
2/2
7%
10.4
2/X
6%
18.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 11% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-3.8pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.9pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
50%
-6.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
50%
+6.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.0pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Betis v Espanyol — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Betis EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Espanyol EU Bookmakers 19%
-3% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.83/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.80
-9% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -9%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
414 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 72%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
18.0 Crosses 14.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Real Betis vs Espanyol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Betis
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Espanyol
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.52 xG 1.41
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
436 Passes 228
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.04.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 3-1 HT 2-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
21.01.2023 Espanyol Espanyol 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
21.01.2022 Espanyol Espanyol 1-4 HT 1-2 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
19.09.2021 Real Betis Real Betis 2-2 HT 2-1 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
25.06.2020 Real Betis Real Betis 1-0 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
15.12.2019 Espanyol Espanyol 2-2 HT 2-1 Real Betis Real Betis İS1

Real Betis 1-0 Espanyol — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Betis
1-0
AWAY Espanyol
2.17 xG 0.48
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 4
393 Passes 337
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
43 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Betis vs Espanyol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Betis nicked a narrow win over Espanyol 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Real Betis as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Betis had 53% of the ball to Espanyol's 47%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 2.17 to 0.48 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Real Betis's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Betis had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Real Betis and 1.17 for Espanyol.

What was the final score of Real Betis vs Espanyol?

Real Betis 1-0 Espanyol in the Spain - Primera Liga on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Betis vs Espanyol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Betis win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Real Betis 57%, draw 22%, Espanyol 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Betis) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Betis) ✗ Over 2.5
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