Racing Santander 2-1 Tenerife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.63
6+ Goals
11%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 30% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
2.06
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.15
X/1
10%
4.01
X/2
11%
10.6
X/X
11%
4.96
2/1
8%
24.3
2/2
8%
9.02
2/X
7%
17.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-5.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.3pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Tenerife EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -19%
1.59/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.44
-6% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
17.1 Crosses 14.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Santander
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Tenerife
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.90 xG 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
281 Passes 299
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
06.09.2024 Tenerife Tenerife 0-1 HT 0-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
10.03.2024 Racing Santander Racing Santander 4-2 HT 0-1 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
03.10.2023 Tenerife Tenerife 2-0 HT 0-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
27.01.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-1 HT 1-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
03.09.2022 Tenerife Tenerife 1-0 HT 0-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
21.06.2020 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-2 HT 0-1 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Santander
2-1
AWAY Tenerife
0.47 xG 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
323 Passes 228
73% Pass Accuracy 65%
14 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Racing Santander vs Tenerife
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Santander edged past Tenerife 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Racing Santander as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Racing Santander had 55% of the ball to Tenerife's 45%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.47 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tenerife led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Racing Santander and 1.33 for Tenerife.

What was the final score of Racing Santander vs Tenerife?

Racing Santander 2-1 Tenerife in the Spain - 2nd Division on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Santander vs Tenerife?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Santander win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Racing Santander 51%, draw 25%, Tenerife 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Santander) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Racing Santander) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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