Cadiz 1-0 Granada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.45
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.52
6+ Goals
9%
24.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.31
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
15%
4.9
X/2
10%
6.43
X/X
13%
3.86
2/1
9%
31.0
2/2
11%
5.01
2/X
7%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+3.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-1.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.6pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cadiz EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Granada EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.33/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.04
-1% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
20.3 Crosses 19.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cadiz
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Granada
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.92 xG 1.41
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
258 Passes 288
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.11.2024 Granada Granada 0-0 HT 0-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
29.03.2024 Cadiz Cadiz 1-0 HT 0-0 Granada Granada İS1
03.01.2024 Granada Granada 2-0 HT 1-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
28.02.2022 Granada Granada 0-0 HT 0-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
13.12.2021 Cadiz Cadiz 1-1 HT 1-0 Granada Granada İS1
02.05.2021 Granada Granada 0-1 HT 0-1 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cadiz
1-0
AWAY Granada
1.47 xG 0.20
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 6
302 Passes 326
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 15
7 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Cadiz vs Granada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cadiz squeezed past Granada 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cadiz as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Cadiz had 47% of the ball to Granada's 53%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.47 to 0.20 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cadiz's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cadiz had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cadiz and 0.50 for Granada.

What was the final score of Cadiz vs Granada?

Cadiz 1-0 Granada in the Spain - 2nd Division on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cadiz vs Granada?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cadiz win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cadiz 46%, draw 27%, Granada 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cadiz), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cadiz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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