Eldense 2-2 Mirandes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.26
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
5.0
6+ Goals
8%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.77
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
18%
5.24
X/2
9%
5.91
X/X
15%
3.6
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
15%
4.55
2/X
6%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.6pp
28%
Draw
32%
-3.2pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eldense EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirandes EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -13%
1.51/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.37
+12% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
23.0 Crosses 17.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eldense
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Mirandes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.81 xG 0.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
293 Passes 229
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2024 Mirandes Mirandes 1-0 HT 0-0 Eldense Eldense İS2
09.03.2024 Mirandes Mirandes 3-1 HT 1-0 Eldense Eldense İS2
19.11.2023 Eldense Eldense 2-2 HT 1-1 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eldense
2-2
AWAY Mirandes
1.33 xG 1.68
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
264 Passes 314
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Eldense vs Mirandes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eldense and Mirandes shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Eldense at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Eldense had 48% of the ball to Mirandes's 52%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.33 to 1.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mirandes led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Eldense and 2.00 for Mirandes.

What was the final score of Eldense vs Mirandes?

Eldense 2-2 Mirandes in the Spain - 2nd Division on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eldense vs Mirandes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eldense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Eldense 41%, draw 28%, Mirandes 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Eldense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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