Holstein Kiel II 1-2 Kickers Emden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.53
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
49%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
36%
-7.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
49%
Away Win
39%
+9.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.5pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holstein Kiel II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Kickers Emden EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.90/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/0.99
+31% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +38%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
291 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holstein Kiel II
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Kickers Emden
4.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
14.09.2024 Kickers Emden Kickers Emden 1-3 HT 1-1 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
16.05.2023 Kickers Emden Kickers Emden 0-4 HT 0-2 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
25.09.2022 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 7-0 HT 3-0 Kickers Emden Kickers Emden ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Holstein Kiel II vs Kickers Emden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kickers Emden squeezed past Holstein Kiel II 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kickers Emden as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Holstein Kiel II had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 4.67 goals for Holstein Kiel II and 0.33 for Kickers Emden.

What was the final score of Holstein Kiel II vs Kickers Emden?

Holstein Kiel II 1-2 Kickers Emden in the Germany - Regional League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holstein Kiel II vs Kickers Emden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kickers Emden win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Holstein Kiel II 29%, draw 23%, Kickers Emden 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kickers Emden), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kickers Emden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
16 Mar 2025
15:00 Greifswalder SV vs Luckenwalde Analysis →
15:00 Hertha Zehlendorf vs Chemnitzer FC Analysis →
15:00 Carl Zeiss Jena vs Eilenburg Analysis →
15:30 Meuselwitz vs Altglienicke Analysis →
16:00 Todesfelde vs Werder Bremen II Analysis →
16:00 Hoffenheim II vs Freiburg II Analysis →