Greifswalder SV 1-0 Luckenwalde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.64
Draw
35%
3.72
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.95
Over 2.5
43%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.82
No
61%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
24%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
57%
-14.5pp
35%
Draw
24%
+11.1pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
51%
-11.8pp
61%
BTTS No
49%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 22%
+14% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
2.49/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.70
+28% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greifswalder SV
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Luckenwalde
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
21.09.2024 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 2-1 HT 0-0 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
03.03.2024 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 2-2 HT 2-1 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
14.01.2024 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-2 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV HAZ
15.09.2023 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-5 HT 0-3 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
14.05.2023 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 6-2 HT 1-2 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
04.12.2022 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 1-1 HT 0-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Greifswalder SV vs Luckenwalde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greifswalder SV edged past Luckenwalde 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Greifswalder SV as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Greifswalder SV and 2.17 for Luckenwalde.

What was the final score of Greifswalder SV vs Luckenwalde?

Greifswalder SV 1-0 Luckenwalde in the Germany - Regional League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greifswalder SV vs Luckenwalde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greifswalder SV win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Greifswalder SV 43%, draw 35%, Luckenwalde 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greifswalder SV), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Greifswalder SV) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
16 Mar 2025
15:00 Hertha Zehlendorf vs Chemnitzer FC Analysis →
15:00 Carl Zeiss Jena vs Eilenburg Analysis →
15:30 Meuselwitz vs Altglienicke Analysis →
16:00 Holstein Kiel II vs Kickers Emden Analysis →
16:00 Todesfelde vs Werder Bremen II Analysis →
16:00 Hoffenheim II vs Freiburg II Analysis →