Alvarado vs Almagro Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alvarado v Almagro — Team-Based Signals
Alvarado vs Almagro Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Alvarado
ARJPBN
0-0
HT 0-0
Almagro
ARJPBN
1-0
HT 0-0
Alvarado
ARJPBN
Alvarado and Almagro shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Almagro led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Alvarado and 0.67 for Almagro.
What was the final score of Alvarado vs Almagro?
Alvarado 1-1 Almagro in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alvarado vs Almagro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alvarado win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alvarado 38%, draw 30%, Almagro 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alvarado), BTTS No went the other way.