Arsenal Sarandi 0-1 Quilmes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒01:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
33%
2.66
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
77%
Over 2.5
23%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.53
No
69%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
54%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+3.4pp
33%
Draw
34%
-1.5pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.0pp
31%
BTTS Yes
36%
-4.8pp
69%
BTTS No
64%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Sarandi EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Quilmes EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
0.66/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.06
-32% / +98% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
237 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Sarandi
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Quilmes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
244 Passes 240
67% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.07.2024 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 0-0 HT 0-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
10.03.2024 Quilmes Quilmes 0-0 HT 0-0 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi ARJPBN
21.06.2017 Quilmes Quilmes 2-2 HT 2-2 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi ARJ
12.04.2016 Quilmes Quilmes 1-4 HT 0-0 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi ARJ
04.05.2015 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 0-1 HT 0-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJ
09.09.2014 Quilmes Quilmes 4-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi ARJ
POST-MATCH Arsenal Sarandi vs Quilmes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quilmes edged past Arsenal Sarandi 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 33% / 35% — and on the day Quilmes made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (77%), no to both teams scoring (69%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Quilmes led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arsenal Sarandi and 1.33 for Quilmes.

What was the final score of Arsenal Sarandi vs Quilmes?

Arsenal Sarandi 0-1 Quilmes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Sarandi vs Quilmes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Quilmes win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Sarandi 32%, draw 33%, Quilmes 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Quilmes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Quilmes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
16 Mar 2025
00:00 Deportivo Moron vs San Telmo Analysis →
01:00 Tristan Suarez vs San Martin Tucuman Analysis →
02:15 Talleres Remedios vs Chacarita Juniors Analysis →
04:10 Colon vs Central Norte Analysis →
22:00 Colegiales vs Racing Cordoba Analysis →
22:00 Deportivo Madryn vs Ferro Carril Oeste Analysis →