Deportivo Madryn 1-0 Ferro Carril Oeste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
26%
2.83
Away
35%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.33
No
68%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
32%
-6.0pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+8.8pp
32%
BTTS Yes
39%
-6.7pp
68%
BTTS No
61%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Madryn EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +19%
0.89/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.13
-21% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Madryn
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
22.07.2023 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 1-0 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
18.03.2023 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
18.09.2022 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 1-3 HT 0-1 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Madryn vs Ferro Carril Oeste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Madryn nicked a narrow win over Ferro Carril Oeste 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Madryn found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (68%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Deportivo Madryn and 1.00 for Ferro Carril Oeste.

What was the final score of Deportivo Madryn vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Deportivo Madryn 1-0 Ferro Carril Oeste in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Madryn vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Madryn win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Madryn 40%, draw 26%, Ferro Carril Oeste 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Madryn), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Madryn) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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