Deportivo Moron 1-1 San Telmo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.02
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.44
No
66%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
45%
-12.0pp
34%
Draw
31%
+3.3pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+8.8pp
34%
BTTS Yes
37%
-3.0pp
66%
BTTS No
63%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Moron EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY San Telmo EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +9%
1.09/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.41
-11% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Moron
2W-1D-3L
AWAY San Telmo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
21.07.2024 San Telmo San Telmo 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
03.03.2024 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 1-2 HT 1-2 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
16.10.2023 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 1-2 HT 0-0 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
04.06.2023 San Telmo San Telmo 2-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
30.04.2022 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 3-1 HT 2-0 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
18.10.2021 San Telmo San Telmo 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Moron vs San Telmo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Moron and San Telmo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 34% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (66%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Telmo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportivo Moron and 1.33 for San Telmo.

What was the final score of Deportivo Moron vs San Telmo?

Deportivo Moron 1-1 San Telmo in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Moron vs San Telmo?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Moron 33%, draw 34%, San Telmo 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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