San Telmo 1-1 Deportivo Moron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒18:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.44
Over 2.5
32%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.51
No
69%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
-0.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.0pp
68%
Under 2.5
66%
+2.5pp
32%
Over 2.5
34%
-2.5pp
31%
BTTS Yes
36%
-4.2pp
69%
BTTS No
64%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Telmo EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Moron EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.07/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.06
-17% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
357 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Telmo
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Moron
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
03.03.2024 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 1-2 HT 1-2 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
16.10.2023 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 1-2 HT 0-0 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
04.06.2023 San Telmo San Telmo 2-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
30.04.2022 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 3-1 HT 2-0 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
18.10.2021 San Telmo San Telmo 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
23.06.2021 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 2-0 HT 1-0 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Telmo vs Deportivo Moron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Telmo and Deportivo Moron shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was San Telmo at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (69%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for San Telmo and 1.50 for Deportivo Moron.

What was the final score of San Telmo vs Deportivo Moron?

San Telmo 1-1 Deportivo Moron in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Telmo vs Deportivo Moron?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Telmo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split San Telmo 52%, draw 29%, Deportivo Moron 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (San Telmo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Telmo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
21 Jul 2024
02:10 Colon vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Analysis →
03:05 Ferro Carril Oeste vs San Martin San Juan Analysis →
21:00 Defensores Unidos vs Gimnasia Y Tiro Analysis →
21:30 Deportivo Madryn vs Gimnasia Mendoza Analysis →
21:30 Deportivo Maipu vs Guillermo Brown Analysis →
22:00 Gimnasia Jujuy vs Agropecuario Argentino Analysis →