Deportivo Maipu 1-0 Guillermo Brown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.48
Over 2.5
33%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.4
No
59%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-7.2pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.6pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.5pp
67%
Under 2.5
64%
+2.6pp
33%
Over 2.5
36%
-2.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
38%
+3.7pp
59%
BTTS No
62%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Guillermo Brown EU Bookmakers 22%
+2% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.45/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.37
+8% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
372 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maipu
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Guillermo Brown
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 5
1 Corners 9
03.03.2024 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
24.04.2022 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maipu vs Guillermo Brown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Maipu edged past Guillermo Brown 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Maipu as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Deportivo Maipu had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Maipu and 0.50 for Guillermo Brown.

What was the final score of Deportivo Maipu vs Guillermo Brown?

Deportivo Maipu 1-0 Guillermo Brown in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maipu vs Guillermo Brown?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Maipu win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maipu 46%, draw 31%, Guillermo Brown 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Maipu), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Maipu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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