Gimnasia Jujuy 1-1 Agropecuario Argentino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.8pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.4pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.3pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Jujuy EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Agropecuario Argentino EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
1.23/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.31
-1% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia Jujuy
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Agropecuario Argentino
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
02.03.2024 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 1-2 HT 0-1 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy ARJPBN
17.09.2022 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 1-0 HT 0-0 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Jujuy vs Agropecuario Argentino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Jujuy and Agropecuario Argentino couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gimnasia Jujuy at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gimnasia Jujuy had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gimnasia Jujuy and 0.50 for Agropecuario Argentino.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Jujuy vs Agropecuario Argentino?

Gimnasia Jujuy 1-1 Agropecuario Argentino in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Jujuy vs Agropecuario Argentino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Jujuy win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Jujuy 42%, draw 33%, Agropecuario Argentino 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gimnasia Jujuy), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimnasia Jujuy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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