Deportivo Madryn 0-2 Gimnasia Mendoza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.36
Over 2.5
35%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.4
No
59%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.8pp
34%
Draw
32%
+2.4pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
70%
-4.9pp
35%
Over 2.5
30%
+4.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
38%
+3.3pp
59%
BTTS No
62%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Madryn EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia Mendoza EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.89/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.87
-29% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Madryn
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Gimnasia Mendoza
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
05.03.2024 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 2-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
14.05.2022 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 2-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Madryn vs Gimnasia Mendoza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Mendoza beat Deportivo Madryn 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 34% / 27%) promised a tight game; Gimnasia Mendoza found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportivo Madryn and 1.00 for Gimnasia Mendoza.

What was the final score of Deportivo Madryn vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

Deportivo Madryn 0-2 Gimnasia Mendoza in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Madryn vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Madryn win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Madryn 39%, draw 34%, Gimnasia Mendoza 27%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Madryn) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Madryn) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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