Gimnasia Y Tiro 1-0 Club Atletico Guemes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
40%
2.7
Away
19%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
Over 2.5
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.67
No
61%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
20%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.2pp
40%
Draw
33%
+6.9pp
19%
Away Win
25%
-6.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
33%
+6.0pp
61%
BTTS No
67%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Y Tiro EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Atletico Guemes EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -12%
0.88/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.16
-22% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Club Atletico Guemes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Y Tiro edged past Club Atletico Guemes 1-0.

Our pre-match split (41% / 40% / 19%) promised a tight game; Gimnasia Y Tiro found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Club Atletico Guemes?

Gimnasia Y Tiro 1-0 Club Atletico Guemes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Club Atletico Guemes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Y Tiro win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Y Tiro 41%, draw 40%, Club Atletico Guemes 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia Y Tiro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia Y Tiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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