Estudiantes 1-1 Newells Old Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 16 Mar 2025

Estudiantes
1-1 HT 1-1
Newells Old Boys
📅16/03/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2025

Estudiantes vs Newells Old Boys Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.63
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
3.98
6+ Goals
9%
19.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.26
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.75
X/1
15%
4.08
X/2
10%
9.41
X/X
14%
4.46
2/1
10%
26.5
2/2
9%
8.12
2/X
8%
16.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-5.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.0pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Estudiantes v Newells Old Boys — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Newells Old Boys EU Bookmakers 23%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -18%
1.53/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.41
+4% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
364 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 69%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
23.7 Crosses 15.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9

Estudiantes vs Newells Old Boys Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Newells Old Boys
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.83 xG 0.74
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
328 Passes 291
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.08.2024 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 1-4 HT 1-2 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
20.02.2024 Estudiantes Estudiantes 2-0 HT 0-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
24.09.2023 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 0-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
01.04.2023 Estudiantes Estudiantes 3-0 HT 2-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
26.06.2022 Estudiantes Estudiantes 0-2 HT 0-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
30.07.2021 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 4-2 HT 1-1 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ

Estudiantes 1-1 Newells Old Boys — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes
1-1
AWAY Newells Old Boys
1.19 xG 0.84
75% Ball Possession 25%
20 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
504 Passes 119
85% Pass Accuracy 59%
32 Box Touches 12
36 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Estudiantes vs Newells Old Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes and Newells Old Boys couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Estudiantes at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Estudiantes had 75% of the ball to Newells Old Boys's 25%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 1.19 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estudiantes had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Estudiantes and 1.17 for Newells Old Boys.

What was the final score of Estudiantes vs Newells Old Boys?

Estudiantes 1-1 Newells Old Boys in the Argentina - Premier League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes vs Newells Old Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes 48%, draw 28%, Newells Old Boys 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Estudiantes), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJ More Argentina - Premier League
16 Mar 2025
00:30 Rosario Central vs Gimnasia La Plata Analysis →
03:00 Huracan vs Independiente Rivadavia Analysis →
03:00 CA Sarmiento vs Talleres Cordoba Analysis →
22:00 Independiente vs Racing Club Analysis →